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Ascot Stakes (Handicap) - Form Comments

19/06/2017

3991m – Turf

1

Iniciar

Has plenty of weight to carry considering he hasn't competed on the Flat for 781 days and that his two wins in France much earlier in his career were not high quality events over much shorter distances than this.

2

Shrewd

Has always given the impression that he has plenty of stamina, but has also given the impression that slow ground suits best. Just a fair run on his recent seasonal debut.

3

Suegioo

Not a regular winner and has failed to win his last 25 starts. However he's been running better lately and only just failed to catch rival here Yorkidding in a 3241m Haydock handicap. He handles fast ground and may have the stamina for this.

4

Thomas Hobson

A smart handicapper on the Flat way back in 2013, but competing over obstacles (often at a high level) since moving to Ireland. Not too sure about fast ground but no distance worries and his trainer has a fine record in this event.

5

Yorkidding

A tough mare who still seems to be progressing despite a busy 34-race career. Runner-up in a prestigious staying handicap three starts ago and the brave winner of a 3241m handicap at Haydock last time. Stable in great form.

6

Cleonte

Twice ran well over 3000m when trained by Andre Fabre in France, including gaining a Listed success at Deauville. A well beaten last over 2400m in a G2 at Newmarket on his UK debut last month. Better than that, surely.

7

Magic Circle

A bit of a worry that he is not really proven on fast ground, but he did run really well last time in a famous handicap at Chester - not far short of this distance - and doing well to finish fifth from a difficult draw and poor trip.

8

High Secret

Racing mostly over hurdles this year but that has never been a barrier to success in this race. On the Flat at Goodwood last month he significantly outran his odds of 20-1 to run a fine second in a handicap over 2800m on fast ground.

9

Star Rider

At Goodwood last July she won a handicap over even further than this, and she also won the same 3200m Newmarket handicap for the last couple of years. She mostly races on slow surfaces but her pedigree is quite positive for fast ground.

10

Cosmelli

He won plenty of races in Italy but they all came on slow ground over much shorter distances than this. Nothing special from two starts in the UK so not very fanciable.

11

Endless Acres

Lightly raced but his figures suggest that he is progressing race by race though all his three races this season - including a handicap win - have come on an all-weather surface. He stays 3200m but some worries about this longer journey.

12

Oceane

Ground dependent with fast ground essential. Unexposed over this marathon distance but the way he pushed the winner all the way to the line over 3200m here last time suggests that this extra trip might even help him.

13

Galizzi

Never got close to the money in this race last year though he was hampered at a crucial stage. He's changed stables since his last run but that was nearly a year ago and he doesn't look a likely winner.

14

Who Dares Wins

Strong at the finish in a prestigious Chester handicap over not far short of this distance last time. In 2015 he twice won handicaps on a fast surface so no worries on that score. He belongs on the shortlist.

15

Moorside

Her standout form was when a close second in a Listed race at Chester over a year ago but she is proving hard to win with, her only success being in a maiden on the all-weather. Supporters will hope this big rise in distance helps.

16

Cartwright

A big powerful horse who was progressing fast until a disappointing show at Newmarket last time that cannot have been solely due to a rising handicap mark. Moving up again in distance but this stable's horses often improve under those circumstances.

17

Gavlar

The winner of an all-weather handicap earlier this year but disappointing on some more recent starts and not guaranteed to relish this marathon trip.

18

Beyond Conceit

From a very well respected stable who have won this stamina test before. He has only won as far as 2400m on the Flat but his ventures over hurdles including a really good second in classy company last time suggest that won't be a problem.

19

Wolfcatcher.

Twice a winner for French ace Andre Fabre a few years ago, and has had three UK trainers since then. His recent form over obstacles has not been encouraging and little obvious chance here.

20

Rainbow Dreamer

Has had a break since winning a 3600m handicap at Newbury in April, very strong at the finish that day. He's up in the weights for that but more important for a race like this is his stamina and how he handles fast ground - both positive.

 

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